Is LMT stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, LMT is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LMT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of LMT stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for LMT to be between $528.20 and $600.98. The current price is $573.40.

What is the analyst price target for LMT?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for LMT is $632.95. This implies a potential upside of 7.4% from current levels.

LMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LMT - Lockheed Martin Corp.

GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS

$573.40

-15.75 (-2.67%) ▼

5d: -4.12%

30d: +11.48%

90d: +9.72%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 19, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 20, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 13, 2026 at $597.09 · last confirmed Aug 19, 2026

Strength: 5.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LMT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 7.3%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$769.94

Based on 5.6% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$478.07

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LMT is currently trading at $573.40, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $528.20 to $600.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.0) is in line with its historical norms (17.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LMT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $577.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: LMT scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $528.20 - $600.98

Company Quality Score 34/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 24.8%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($632.95)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $528.20 - $600.98

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $577.00

Resistance Level $612.75

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 19, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.02

Wall Street Target $632.95 (+7.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 443.8%

Profit Margin 8.2%

Valuation Premium vs History +0.3% premium

PE vs Historical 18.0 vs 17.9 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $590.92 (+0%)

2-Year Target $592.69 (+1%)

3-Year Target $594.47 (+1%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→18) PE COMPRESSION $590.40 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.3%) $810.42 (+38%)

Base: (SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: 7.3%) $727.78 (+24%)

Bear: (PE: 15.3, Growth: 7.3%) $618.61 (+5%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 22.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $27.13

Bull Case $804.71 (+37%)

Analyst growth 20.5%, PE expands to 24.6

Base Case $731.56 (+24%)

Market implied 20.5%, PE stable at 22.4

Bear Case $412.88 (-30%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: August 20, 2026 12:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Stephanie C Hill SELL 10 shares 2026-02-24

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