LMT
Lockheed Martin Corp.
GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$610.05
+6.93 (+1.15%)
â˛
5d:
+2.52%
30d:
+21.04%
90d:
+2.01%
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Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (69%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$506.41 â $609.49
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.3x
FAIR
vs 17.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$660.86
+8.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$561.85 / $657.00
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LMT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$796.63
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$494.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LMT is currently trading at $610.05, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $506.41 to $609.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.3) is in line with its historical norms (17.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LMT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $561.85, while resistance sits at $657.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LMT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $561.85, while resistance sits at $657.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$506.41 -
$609.49
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$506.41 -
$609.49
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$561.85
Resistance Level
$657.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($660.86)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.32
Wall Street Target
$660.86
(+8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.7%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 17.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$618.59
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$627.25
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$636.03
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â18)
PE COMPRESSION
$610.87
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.7%)
$849.48
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 8.7%)
$783.82
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 8.7%)
$666.25
(+9%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $28.16
Bull Case
$784.31
(+29%)
Analyst growth 18.2%, PE expands to 23.6
Base Case
$713.01
(+17%)
Market implied 18.2%, PE stable at 21.4
Bear Case
$410.12
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LMT)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment dominates on StockTwits regarding $LMT, driven by Boeing's strong Q4 defense revenue and aircraft orders. CesiumAstro's $6.6 million headquarters renovation plan was announced in a Yahoo Finance news article.
Key Retail Themes:
Boeing's Q4 performance
CesiumAstro's headquarters renovation
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL
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