LMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LMT - Lockheed Martin Corp.
$503.67
10.07 (2.04%)
▲
5d:
-5.03%
30d:
-3.66%
90d:
-18.27%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LMT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LMT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$766.52
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$475.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LMT is currently trading at $503.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $514.20 to $536.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (18.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LMT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $490.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LMT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $625.16 (+26.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LMT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $490.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LMT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $625.16 (+26.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$514.20 -
$536.10
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LMT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($625.16)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$514.20 -
$536.10
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$490.05
Resistance Level
$550.99
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.37
Wall Street Target
$625.16
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.5%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 18.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$467.44
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$442.66
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$419.20
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→18)
$493.56
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.4%)
$866.74
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 7.4%)
$611.78
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 7.4%)
$520.01
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $20.64
Bull Case
$874.32
(+77%)
Analyst growth 55.6%, PE expands to 27.2
Base Case
$794.84
(+61%)
Market implied 55.6%, PE stable at 24.8
Bear Case
$347.45
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 18.1
Stabilization Target:
$581.15
(+17.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is LMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephanie C Hill
SELL
10 shares
2026-02-24
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