Lockheed Martin (LMT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LMT - Lockheed Martin Corp.
$524.19
-5.93 (-1.12%)
▼
5d:
-1.64%
30d:
-13.6%
90d:
-4.46%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $525.28 · last confirmed Sep 10, 2026
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LMT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LMT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$770.16
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$478.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LMT is currently trading at $524.19, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $543.31 to $596.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.0) compared to its historical average (17.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 443.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LMT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $521.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LMT scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $637.84 (+21.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LMT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $521.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LMT scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $637.84 (+21.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$543.31 -
$596.82
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.7% below Wall St target ($637.84)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$543.31 -
$596.82
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$521.87
Resistance Level
$568.43
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.02
Wall Street Target
$637.84
(+21.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
443.8%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 17.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$506.37
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$489.15
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$472.52
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$525.12
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.5%)
$818.91
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 7.5%)
$650.30
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 7.5%)
$552.75
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $27.41
Bull Case
$696.25
(+33%)
Analyst growth 19.4%, PE expands to 21.3
Base Case
$632.96
(+21%)
Market implied 19.4%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case
$360.48
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.0 to 17.8
Stabilization Target:
$582.54
(+11.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced LMT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LMT price and gamma walls.
