Lockheed Martin (LMT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LMT - Lockheed Martin Corp.
$589.91
38.40 (6.96%)
▲
5d:
+10.75%
30d:
+12.43%
90d:
+1.25%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 14, 2026 at $522.23 · last confirmed Oct 22, 2026
Strength: 6.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LMT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LMT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$759.22
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$471.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LMT is currently trading at $589.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $506.17 to $544.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.9) is in line with its historical norms (17.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 443.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LMT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $502.17, while resistance sits at $608.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: LMT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $618.86 (+12.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LMT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $502.17, while resistance sits at $608.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: LMT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $618.86 (+12.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$506.17 -
$544.97
Company Quality Score
29/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Protect Your Profits
LMT is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($618.86)
- WARNING: Composite score 29/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$506.17 -
$544.97
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$502.17
Resistance Level
$608.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.85
Wall Street Target
$618.86
(+12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
443.8%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 17.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$544.34
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$537.26
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$530.28
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$550.87
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.6%)
$810.91
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 7.6%)
$687.85
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 7.6%)
$584.67
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $27.13
Bull Case
$728.35
(+32%)
Analyst growth 20.7%, PE expands to 22.3
Base Case
$662.14
(+20%)
Market implied 20.7%, PE stable at 20.2
Bear Case
$373.12
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 17.5
Stabilization Target:
$572.92
(+3.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 4:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced LMT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LMT price and gamma walls.
