Lockheed Martin (LMT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LMT - Lockheed Martin Corp.
$504.59
-0.92 (-0.18%)
▼
5d:
-2.88%
30d:
-5.07%
90d:
-6.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LMT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LMT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$766.51
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$475.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LMT is currently trading at $504.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $515.99 to $551.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 443.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LMT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $503.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LMT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $636.74 (+26.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LMT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $503.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LMT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $636.74 (+26.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$515.99 -
$551.22
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LMT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.0% below Wall St target ($636.74)
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$515.99 -
$551.22
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$503.53
Resistance Level
$538.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.43
Wall Street Target
$636.74
(+26.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
443.8%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 17.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$483.26
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$461.99
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$441.67
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→18)
$506.57
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 7.5%)
$829.35
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 7.5%)
$627.39
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 7.5%)
$533.28
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $27.10
Bull Case
$677.09
(+34%)
Analyst growth 20.9%, PE expands to 20.7
Base Case
$615.54
(+22%)
Market implied 20.9%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case
$346.29
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$579.78
(+14.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 12:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LMT price and gamma walls.
