LOMA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOMA - Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima American Depositary Shares (ADSs), each representing five ordinary shares
$11.44
-0.76 (-6.23%)
▼
5d:
-5.14%
30d:
+4.47%
90d:
+4.28%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LOMA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LOMA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.28
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.59
9.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOMA is currently trading at $11.44, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.07 to $12.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.0) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 44.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOMA is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $10.95, while resistance sits at $12.65. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.70 (+28.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOMA is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $10.95, while resistance sits at $12.65. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.70 (+28.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.07 -
$12.17
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 28.5% below Wall St target ($14.70)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.07 -
$12.17
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.95
Resistance Level
$12.65
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.00
Wall Street Target
$14.70
(+28.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.0%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.15
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$10.88
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$10.60
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$11.44
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.1%)
$28.60
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 17.1%)
$18.38
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 17.1%)
$15.63
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.92 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.15
Bull Case
$13.81
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case
$11.44
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case
$8.75
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$12.34
(+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 25, 2026 3:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOMA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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