LSTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LSTR - Landstar System Inc
$186.58
4.16 (2.28%)
▲
5d:
-1.9%
30d:
-10.29%
90d:
-2.37%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LSTR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LSTR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$372.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$231.03
19.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSTR is currently trading at $186.58, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $176.91 to $203.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.4) is in line with its historical norms (26.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $175.27, while resistance sits at $194.02.
Market Sentiment: LSTR scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $175.27, while resistance sits at $194.02.
Market Sentiment: LSTR scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$176.91 -
$203.52
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($196.38)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 60/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$176.91 -
$203.52
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$175.27
Resistance Level
$194.02
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.41
Wall Street Target
$196.38
(+5.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.4 vs 26.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$182.66
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$178.83
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$175.07
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→26)
$187.17
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.4, Growth: 29.1%)
$401.62
(+115%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 29.1%)
$330.18
(+77%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 29.1%)
$280.65
(+50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.80
Bull Case
$401.32
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 52.8
Base Case
$364.84
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.0
Bear Case
$124.05
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.4 to 26.1
Stabilization Target:
$199.47
(+6.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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