LTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LTM - LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two thousand (2,000) shares of Common Stock)
$51.55
1.06 (2.10%)
â˛
5d:
-1.36%
30d:
+3.43%
90d:
+1.2%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LTM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LTM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.41
18.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LTM is currently trading at $51.55, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.82 to $54.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $50.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.17 (+41.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $50.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.17 (+41.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$50.82 -
$54.89
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.9% below Wall St target ($73.17)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.82 -
$54.89
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.19
Resistance Level
$55.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.16
Wall Street Target
$73.17
(+41.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-46.2%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.19
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$50.83
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$50.48
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â8)
$51.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 38.4%)
$336.26
(+552%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 38.4%)
$136.69
(+165%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 38.4%)
$116.19
(+125%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.32
Bull Case
$65.96
(+28%)
Analyst growth 18.8%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case
$59.97
(+16%)
Market implied 18.8%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case
$34.33
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$52.44
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 4:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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