LTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LTM - LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two thousand (2,000) shares of Common Stock)
$51.29
0.61 (1.20%)
▲
5d:
-0.85%
30d:
-2.19%
90d:
-0.35%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$103.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.26
20.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LTM is currently trading at $51.29, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.57 to $54.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.0) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $49.19, while resistance sits at $53.04.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.72 (+43.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $49.19, while resistance sits at $53.04.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.72 (+43.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$50.57 -
$54.87
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.7% below Wall St target ($73.72)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (46/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.57 -
$54.87
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.19
Resistance Level
$53.04
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.01
Wall Street Target
$73.72
(+43.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-46.2%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.67
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$50.07
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$49.47
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$51.25
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 35.7%)
$322.89
(+530%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 35.7%)
$128.23
(+150%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 35.7%)
$109.00
(+113%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.27
Bull Case
$67.73
(+32%)
Analyst growth 21.5%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$61.57
(+20%)
Market implied 21.5%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$34.46
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$53.14
(+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 6:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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