LTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LTM - LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two thousand (2,000) shares of Common Stock)
$53.51
0.18 (0.34%)
▲
5d:
-5.68%
30d:
+3.96%
90d:
+1.44%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.45
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.82
23.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LTM is currently trading at $53.51, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.06 to $57.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 70.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.78 (+32.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.78 (+32.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$51.06 -
$57.93
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.3% below Wall St target ($70.78)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.06 -
$57.93
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.61
Resistance Level
$54.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.78
Wall Street Target
$70.78
(+32.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
70.7%
Profit Margin
11.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.17
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$50.87
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$49.60
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$53.52
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 39.8%)
$408.66
(+664%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 39.8%)
$146.05
(+173%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 39.8%)
$124.14
(+132%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.79
Bull Case
$73.73
(+38%)
Analyst growth 18.7%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$67.03
(+26%)
Market implied 18.7%, PE stable at 9.8
Bear Case
$38.39
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 8.4
Stabilization Target:
$57.74
(+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 5:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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