LTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LTM - LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two thousand (2,000) shares of Common Stock)
$57.16
1.42 (2.55%)
▲
5d:
+3.91%
30d:
+14.57%
90d:
+16.58%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.46
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.83
18.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LTM is currently trading at $57.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.92 to $53.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.1) is in line with its historical norms (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 70.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LTM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.88 (+25.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LTM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.88 (+25.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$47.92 -
$53.47
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.9% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.4% below Wall St target ($69.88)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.92 -
$53.47
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.61
Resistance Level
$54.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.11
Wall Street Target
$69.88
(+25.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
70.7%
Profit Margin
11.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.07
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$54.41
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$53.76
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$55.69
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 39.7%)
$408.41
(+633%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 39.7%)
$152.04
(+173%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 39.7%)
$129.23
(+132%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.78
Bull Case
$72.91
(+31%)
Analyst growth 18.9%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$66.29
(+19%)
Market implied 18.9%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$37.90
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.1 to 8.4
Stabilization Target:
$57.75
(+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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