LTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LTM - LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two thousand (2,000) shares of Common Stock)
$47.92
0.18 (0.38%)
▲
5d:
-8.64%
30d:
-6.46%
90d:
-16.57%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LTM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LTM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$103.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.26
25.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LTM is currently trading at $47.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.74 to $52.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.5) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LTM scores 19/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.26 (+55.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LTM scores 19/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.26 (+55.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$49.74 -
$52.76
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (19/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.0% below Wall St target ($74.26)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$49.74 -
$52.76
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.38
Resistance Level
$54.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.48
Wall Street Target
$74.26
(+55.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-46.2%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.29
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$44.72
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$43.20
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$47.91
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 35.7%)
$326.57
(+582%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: 35.7%)
$119.81
(+150%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 35.7%)
$101.84
(+113%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.41
Bull Case
$62.15
(+30%)
Analyst growth 18.4%, PE expands to 9.7
Base Case
$56.50
(+18%)
Market implied 18.4%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case
$32.46
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.5 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$53.14
(+10.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 2:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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