LTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LTM - LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two thousand (2,000) shares of Common Stock)
$54.51
1.75 (3.32%)
▲
5d:
+4.21%
30d:
-3.4%
90d:
+15.34%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LTM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LTM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.48
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.98
19.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LTM is currently trading at $54.51, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.84 to $56.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.1) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 70.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.29 (+30.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.29 (+30.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$51.84 -
$56.99
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 30.8% below Wall St target ($71.29)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.84 -
$56.99
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.26
Resistance Level
$54.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.05
Wall Street Target
$71.29
(+30.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
70.7%
Profit Margin
11.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.86
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$53.21
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$52.57
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$54.22
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 41.4%)
$397.30
(+629%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 41.4%)
$154.23
(+183%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 41.4%)
$131.09
(+141%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.78
Bull Case
$68.01
(+25%)
Analyst growth 17.2%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$61.83
(+13%)
Market implied 17.2%, PE stable at 9.1
Bear Case
$35.88
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$56.22
(+3.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 9:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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