LTM
LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two thousand (2,000) shares of Common Stock)
Air Transportation, Scheduled
LTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$47.32
-0.09 (-0.19%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.73%
30d:
-2.43%
90d:
-9.5%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (43%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$44.96 â $49.94
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
6.7x
CHEAP
vs 8.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$72.36
+52.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$43.33 / $51.00
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LTM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.78
31.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LTM is currently trading at $47.32, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.96 to $49.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.7) compared to its historical average (8.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $43.33, while resistance sits at $51.00.
Market Sentiment: LTM scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.36 (+52.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $43.33, while resistance sits at $51.00.
Market Sentiment: LTM scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.36 (+52.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$44.96 -
$49.94
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$44.96 -
$49.94
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$43.33
Resistance Level
$51.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.9% below Wall St target ($72.36)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.74
Wall Street Target
$72.36
(+52.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.8%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 8.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.48
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$41.81
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$39.30
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â8)
$47.25
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 40.4%)
$386.37
(+717%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 40.4%)
$131.09
(+177%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: 40.4%)
$111.42
(+136%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.65
Bull Case
$64.82
(+37%)
Analyst growth 24.3%, PE expands to 9.2
Base Case
$58.93
(+25%)
Market implied 24.3%, PE stable at 8.4
Bear Case
$32.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.7 to 8.1
Stabilization Target:
$56.88
(+20.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LTM)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Feb 21, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on LTM are bullish (sentiment score +0.41) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 5:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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