LTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LTM - LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two thousand (2,000) shares of Common Stock)
$49.71
-1.30 (-2.55%)
▼
5d:
-6.44%
30d:
+9.83%
90d:
-3.79%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$111.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.47
28.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LTM is currently trading at $49.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.22 to $52.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.3) compared to its historical average (8.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 70.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $46.19, while resistance sits at $54.10.
Market Sentiment: LTM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.31 (+41.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $46.19, while resistance sits at $54.10.
Market Sentiment: LTM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.31 (+41.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$47.22 -
$52.14
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.4% below Wall St target ($70.31)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.22 -
$52.14
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.19
Resistance Level
$54.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.35
Wall Street Target
$70.31
(+41.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
70.7%
Profit Margin
11.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 8.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.32
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$45.05
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$42.89
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$49.57
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 32.8%)
$346.71
(+598%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 32.8%)
$116.38
(+134%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 32.8%)
$98.92
(+99%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.79
Bull Case
$68.23
(+28%)
Analyst growth 16.7%, PE expands to 10.1
Base Case
$62.02
(+17%)
Market implied 16.7%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case
$36.13
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 8.5
Stabilization Target:
$57.45
(+15.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 04, 2026 12:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:19 AM
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Is LTM showing a specific setup today?
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