LTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LTM - LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two thousand (2,000) shares of Common Stock)
$46.27
-0.95 (-2.01%)
▼
5d:
-2.53%
30d:
-10.43%
90d:
-11.55%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 13, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.26
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.49
27.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LTM is currently trading at $46.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.99 to $51.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.2) compared to its historical average (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LTM scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.86 (+59.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LTM scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.86 (+59.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$47.99 -
$51.92
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 59.6% below Wall St target ($73.86)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.99 -
$51.92
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.72
Resistance Level
$50.37
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.23
Wall Street Target
$73.86
(+59.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-46.2%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 8.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.28
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$42.38
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$40.55
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$46.02
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 39.7%)
$346.46
(+649%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 39.7%)
$126.05
(+172%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 39.7%)
$107.14
(+132%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.32
Bull Case
$62.52
(+35%)
Analyst growth 20.4%, PE expands to 9.8
Base Case
$56.84
(+23%)
Market implied 20.4%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case
$32.11
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.2 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$52.51
(+13.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 9:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is LTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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