MBLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBLY - Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock
$7.94
0.04 (0.51%)
▲
5d:
-1.37%
30d:
-17.89%
90d:
-8.63%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MBLY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MBLY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.05
Based on -3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBLY is currently trading at $7.94, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.00 to $9.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.0) compared to its historical average (24.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 99.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBLY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.10, while resistance sits at $9.23.
Market Sentiment: MBLY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.51 (+56.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBLY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.10, while resistance sits at $9.23.
Market Sentiment: MBLY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.51 (+56.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.00 -
$9.57
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MBLY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 56.2% below Wall St target ($12.51)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.00 -
$9.57
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.10
Resistance Level
$9.24
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.01
Wall Street Target
$12.51
(+56.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
99.7%
Profit Margin
-201.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 24.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.22
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.50
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.86
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→25)
$8.03
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: -11.3%)
$6.75
(+-16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: -11.3%)
$5.84
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: -11.3%)
$4.96
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.0 to 24.7
Stabilization Target:
$10.98
(+37.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 2:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MBLY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MBLY price and gamma walls.
