MBLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBLY - Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock
$8.34
-0.12 (-1.42%)
▼
5d:
-10.71%
30d:
-14.64%
90d:
+9.45%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
29d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MBLY is down 10.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MBLY is down 10.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.98
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.54
20.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBLY is currently trading at $8.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.12 to $10.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.4) is in line with its historical norms (24.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 99.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBLY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.23 (+58.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBLY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.23 (+58.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.12 -
$10.42
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MBLY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.6% below Wall St target ($13.23)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.12 -
$10.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.08
Resistance Level
$11.26
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.44
Wall Street Target
$13.23
(+58.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
99.7%
Profit Margin
-204.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.4 vs 24.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.21
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$8.09
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$7.97
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→25)
$8.33
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.4, Growth: 28.0%)
$17.50
(+110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 28.0%)
$16.26
(+95%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 28.0%)
$13.82
(+66%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.4 to 24.5
Stabilization Target:
$8.72
(+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MBLY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MBLY price and gamma walls.
