MBUU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBUU - Malibu Boats, Inc. Class A
$26.12
-0.25 (-0.95%)
▼
5d:
-5.67%
30d:
-2.76%
90d:
-0.5%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MBUU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MBUU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.17
33.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBUU is currently trading at $26.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.27 to $28.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+34.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+34.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$26.27 -
$28.02
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.0% below Wall St target ($35.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.27 -
$28.02
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.15
Resistance Level
$29.76
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.40
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(+34.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.3%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 12.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.29
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$22.59
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$21.01
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$26.05
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 71.2%)
$184.58
(+607%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 71.2%)
$88.15
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 71.2%)
$74.93
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$32.39
(+24.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 8:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBUU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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