MBUU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBUU - Malibu Boats, Inc. Class A
$27.57
-0.43 (-1.54%)
▼
5d:
-0.47%
30d:
+7.53%
90d:
+7.7%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MBUU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MBUU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.50
28.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBUU is currently trading at $27.57, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.23 to $28.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.33 (+26.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.33 (+26.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$26.23 -
$28.54
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.2% below Wall St target ($35.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.23 -
$28.54
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.92
Resistance Level
$29.40
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.08
Wall Street Target
$35.33
(+26.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.3%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 12.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.82
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$25.70
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$24.62
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$28.00
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 72.1%)
$177.50
(+534%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 72.1%)
$94.50
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 72.1%)
$80.33
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$31.84
(+13.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBUU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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