MDU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDU - MDU Resources Group, Inc.
$21.63
0.43 (2.03%)
▲
5d:
+2.76%
30d:
-0.92%
90d:
+7.67%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MDU shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MDU shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.12
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDU is currently trading at $21.63, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.88 to $22.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.2) is in line with its historical norms (20.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDU is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MDU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDU is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MDU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$20.88 -
$22.03
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.29)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with -10.2% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.88 -
$22.03
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.64
Resistance Level
$22.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.22
Wall Street Target
$23.29
(+9.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
20.2 vs 20.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.28
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$21.37
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$21.46
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.23
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.1%)
$28.83
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.1%)
$26.76
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 8.1%)
$22.74
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
Bull Case
$26.70
(+26%)
Analyst growth 14.0%, PE expands to 25.5
Base Case
$24.27
(+15%)
Market implied 14.0%, PE stable at 23.1
Bear Case
$14.48
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Charles M Kelley
BUY
5000 shares
2026-02-13
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