MHO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MHO - M/I Homes, Inc.
$149.09
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+5.49%
30d:
+16.97%
90d:
+23.85%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MHO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MHO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$241.22
Based on 13.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$149.78
0.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MHO is currently trading at $149.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $128.45 to $143.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (8.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MHO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $142.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MHO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MHO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $142.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MHO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$128.45 -
$143.21
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($160.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.4% growth with -5.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$128.45 -
$143.21
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$130.93
Resistance Level
$142.20
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.64
Wall Street Target
$160.00
(+7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.9%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 8.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$155.65
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$162.50
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$169.65
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$149.53
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.2%)
$614.64
(+312%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 22.2%)
$272.15
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 22.2%)
$231.33
(+55%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.31
Bull Case
$190.49
(+28%)
Analyst growth 16.2%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case
$173.17
(+16%)
Market implied 16.2%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$101.38
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MHO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ann Marie Hunker
SELL
132 shares
2026-02-12
Phillip G Creek
SELL
8616 shares
2026-02-12
Robert H Schottenstein
SELL
14974 shares
2026-02-12
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