MLI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MLI - Mueller Industries, Inc.
$67.58
1.03 (1.54%)
▲
5d:
+1.63%
30d:
+18.89%
90d:
-48.36%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MLI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MLI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.44
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.33
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MLI is currently trading at $67.58, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.84 to $108.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $68.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MLI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.50 (+16.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $68.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MLI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.50 (+16.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$46.84 -
$108.00
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($77.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.84 -
$108.00
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.71
Resistance Level
$68.49
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.19
Wall Street Target
$77.50
(+16.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Profit Margin
18.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 14.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.15
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$67.75
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$68.36
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$66.59
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 4.3%)
$102.98
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 4.3%)
$75.48
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 4.3%)
$64.16
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.84
Bull Case
$83.32
(+25%)
Analyst growth 14.1%, PE expands to 19.0
Base Case
$75.75
(+14%)
Market implied 14.1%, PE stable at 17.3
Bear Case
$45.16
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 10:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MLI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Jay Goldman
SELL
4430 shares
2026-02-13
John B Hansen
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-09
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