MLI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MLI - Mueller Industries, Inc.
$58.39
1.95 (3.45%)
▲
5d:
+4.89%
30d:
-56.9%
90d:
-52.62%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
12d
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1 traders called MLI this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MLI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MLI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.16
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MLI is currently trading at $58.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.38 to $144.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.3) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 55.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $123.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.50 (+27.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $123.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.50 (+27.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$70.38 -
$144.12
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.6% below Wall St target ($74.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.38 -
$144.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$123.94
Resistance Level
$138.82
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.35
Wall Street Target
$74.50
(+27.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
55.4%
Profit Margin
19.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 14.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.40
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$54.49
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$52.63
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$58.37
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.2%)
$107.70
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 4.2%)
$66.00
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 4.2%)
$56.10
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.81
Bull Case
$71.99
(+23%)
Analyst growth 14.8%, PE expands to 16.5
Base Case
$65.44
(+12%)
Market implied 14.8%, PE stable at 15.0
Bear Case
$38.75
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 14.8
Stabilization Target:
$64.75
(+10.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 1:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is MLI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Jay Goldman
SELL
4430 shares
2026-02-13
John B Hansen
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-09
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