MLM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MLM - Martin Marietta Materials
$534.92
9.65 (1.84%)
▲
5d:
-2.37%
30d:
-2.19%
90d:
-0.57%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MLM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MLM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$882.48
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$547.95
2.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MLM is currently trading at $534.92, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $534.69 to $564.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.9) is in line with its historical norms (26.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $522.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MLM scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $662.65 (+23.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $522.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MLM scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $662.65 (+23.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$534.69 -
$564.79
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
92.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.9% below Wall St target ($662.65)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$534.69 -
$564.79
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$19.11
(3.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$522.19
Resistance Level
$559.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.86
Wall Street Target
$662.65
(+23.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.2%
Profit Margin
36.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.9 vs 26.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$522.62
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$510.60
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$498.85
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→27)
$533.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.9, Growth: 17.0%)
$856.00
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 17.0%)
$691.14
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 17.0%)
$587.47
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.37
Bull Case
$808.98
(+51%)
Analyst growth 40.0%, PE expands to 37.6
Base Case
$735.43
(+38%)
Market implied 40.0%, PE stable at 34.2
Bear Case
$357.18
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.9 to 26.6
Stabilization Target:
$572.42
(+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MLM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
April McClain Delaney
BUY
2026-03-09
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Advanced MLM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MLM price and gamma walls.
