MNRO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MNRO - Monro, Inc. Common Stock
$12.55
0.59 (4.93%)
▲
5d:
+9.32%
30d:
-24.9%
90d:
-23.38%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MNRO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MNRO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.72
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.08
34.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MNRO is currently trading at $12.55, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.80 to $16.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.8) compared to its historical average (25.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 161.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNRO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: MNRO scores 92/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+75.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNRO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: MNRO scores 92/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+75.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$11.80 -
$16.53
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MNRO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (92/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 75.3% below Wall St target ($22.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 25% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.80 -
$16.53
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.06
Resistance Level
$12.66
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.79
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+75.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
161.3%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 25.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.33
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.23
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.24
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→26)
$12.54
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 22.3%)
$24.55
(+96%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 22.3%)
$22.98
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 22.3%)
$19.54
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (54x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 54.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.22
Bull Case
$26.31
(+110%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 59.8
Base Case
$23.92
(+91%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 54.4
Bear Case
$8.13
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 46.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 25.5
Stabilization Target:
$17.03
(+35.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 12:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MNRO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MNRO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MNRO price and gamma walls.
