NDLS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NDLS - Noodles & Company Class A

RETAIL-EATING PLACES
$11.88
-0.70 (-5.56%) ▼
5d: -7.98%
30d: -16.57%
90d: +41.6%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026 27d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NDLS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.96
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.05
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NDLS is currently trading at $11.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.67 to $14.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.1) compared to its historical average (28.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NDLS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.60, while resistance sits at $13.76. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $1.75. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $12.67 - $14.84
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.6%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.6%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 85.3% above Wall St target ($1.75)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.1% growth with None% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.0% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $12.67 - $14.84
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.60
Resistance Level $13.76
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 32.11
Wall Street Target $1.75 (-85.3%)
Earnings Growth (YoY) -11.8%
Profit Margin -7.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.1% premium
PE vs Historical 32.1 vs 28.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $12.37 (+4%)
2-Year Target $12.87 (+8%)
3-Year Target $13.40 (+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 32→28) PE COMPRESSION $11.85 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: July 15, 2026 2:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:45 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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