NEM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NEM - Newmont Corporation
$103.79
-1.88 (-1.78%)
▼
5d:
+6.35%
30d:
-1.24%
90d:
+4.63%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NEM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.1% annual earnings decline despite 79% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NEM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.1% annual earnings decline despite 79% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$184.97
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$114.85
9.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NEM is currently trading at $103.79, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.84 to $113.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 78.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $94.95, while resistance sits at $111.93.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $141.46 (+36.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $94.95, while resistance sits at $111.93.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $141.46 (+36.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$100.84 -
$113.80
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.3% below Wall St target ($141.46)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$100.84 -
$113.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$94.95
Resistance Level
$111.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.11
Wall Street Target
$141.46
(+36.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
45.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
78.6%
Profit Margin
33.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 11.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$96.42
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$89.58
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$83.22
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$104.15
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.7%)
$336.31
(+224%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 10.7%)
$140.64
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 10.7%)
$119.55
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.71
Bull Case
$171.79
(+66%)
Analyst growth 47.8%, PE expands to 15.1
Base Case
$156.18
(+51%)
Market implied 47.8%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case
$71.86
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$129.90
(+25.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 20, 2026 6:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Peter Toth
SELL
3000 shares
2026-04-01
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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2026-03-18
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