NPKI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NPKI - NPK International Inc.
$13.25
0.76 (6.08%)
▲
5d:
-6.29%
30d:
-7.41%
90d:
-14.9%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NPKI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NPKI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.84
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.18
6.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NPKI is currently trading at $13.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.56 to $15.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.9) compared to its historical average (23.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NPKI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.80, while resistance sits at $15.01. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: NPKI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.33 (+62.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NPKI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.80, while resistance sits at $15.01. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: NPKI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.33 (+62.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.56 -
$15.31
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 62.8% below Wall St target ($20.33)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.56 -
$15.31
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.80
Resistance Level
$15.01
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.93
Wall Street Target
$20.33
(+62.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Profit Margin
13.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 23.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.77
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$11.08
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$10.44
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→24)
$12.47
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 13.9%)
$19.22
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.9%)
$18.48
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 13.9%)
$15.71
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.43
Bull Case
$19.98
(+60%)
Analyst growth 45.7%, PE expands to 31.9
Base Case
$18.16
(+45%)
Market implied 45.7%, PE stable at 29.0
Bear Case
$8.47
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.9 to 23.8
Stabilization Target:
$14.92
(+19.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NPKI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gregg Piontek
SELL
15000 shares
2026-04-09
Gregg Piontek
SELL
35000 shares
2026-04-01
Mary Celeste Fruge
SELL
1000 shares
2026-03-16
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