NTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NTR - Nutrien Ltd. Common Shares
$68.64
1.04 (1.54%)
▲
5d:
+5.08%
30d:
+4.7%
90d:
-7.72%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.68
Based on -2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NTR is currently trading at $68.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.28 to $66.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.1) is in line with its historical norms (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1250.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $70.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.92 (+16.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $70.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.92 (+16.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$62.28 -
$66.93
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NTR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($79.92)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.28 -
$66.93
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.46
Resistance Level
$70.39
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.12
Wall Street Target
$79.92
(+16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1250.0%
Profit Margin
8.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 14.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.27
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$65.92
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$64.60
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$68.95
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -9.3%)
$84.94
(+24%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: -9.3%)
$51.16
(-26%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: -9.3%)
$43.48
(-37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.91
Bull Case
$76.70
(+14%)
Analyst growth 6.6%, PE expands to 14.7
Base Case
$69.73
(+3%)
Market implied 6.6%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$44.49
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.1 to 14.0
Stabilization Target:
$73.26
(+6.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 5:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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