NTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NTR - Nutrien Ltd. Common Shares
$65.96
-3.11 (-4.50%)
▼
5d:
-2.14%
30d:
+1.38%
90d:
-12.31%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 3.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NTR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NTR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.79
Based on -1.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NTR is currently trading at $65.96, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.69 to $69.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1250.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $65.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: NTR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.59 (+17.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $65.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: NTR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.59 (+17.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$63.69 -
$69.06
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($77.59)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.69 -
$69.06
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.40
Resistance Level
$70.97
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.83
Wall Street Target
$77.59
(+17.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1250.0%
Profit Margin
8.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.18
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$62.45
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$60.76
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$65.82
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -7.7%)
$83.86
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: -7.7%)
$51.91
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: -7.7%)
$44.12
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.06
Bull Case
$77.74
(+13%)
Analyst growth 1.7%, PE expands to 15.1
Base Case
$70.67
(+2%)
Market implied 1.7%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case
$47.23
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 13.9
Stabilization Target:
$71.45
(+8.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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