NTRS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NTRS - Northern Trust Corp
$183.90
1.39 (0.76%)
â˛
5d:
-3.92%
30d:
+3.34%
90d:
+10.05%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NTRS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NTRS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$188.07
Based on 1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$116.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NTRS is currently trading at $183.90, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $180.89 to $188.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTRS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $182.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTRS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $182.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$180.89 -
$188.92
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NTRS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($184.27)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$180.89 -
$188.92
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$182.41
Resistance Level
$195.78
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.66
Wall Street Target
$184.27
(+0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
98.6%
Profit Margin
24.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 14.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$186.29
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$188.71
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$191.17
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â14)
PE COMPRESSION
$183.90
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -1.5%)
$240.59
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: -1.5%)
$175.70
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: -1.5%)
$149.35
(-19%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.46
Bull Case
$219.80
(+20%)
Analyst growth 9.5%, PE expands to 17.5
Base Case
$199.82
(+9%)
Market implied 9.5%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case
$124.11
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 2:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NTRS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Guy Gibson
SELL
3009 shares
2026-03-05
David W Fox Jr
SELL
3255 shares
2026-03-04
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