NWN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWN - Northwest Natural Holding Company
$50.53
0.62 (1.24%)
▲
5d:
+2.33%
30d:
+1.2%
90d:
-3.29%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NWN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NWN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.26
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWN is currently trading at $50.53, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.73 to $50.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.5) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $47.57, while resistance sits at $52.30.
Market Sentiment: NWN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.50 (+15.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $47.57, while resistance sits at $52.30.
Market Sentiment: NWN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.50 (+15.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$48.73 -
$50.06
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($57.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.73 -
$50.06
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.57
Resistance Level
$52.30
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.47
Wall Street Target
$57.50
(+15.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.41
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$48.92
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$48.43
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$50.09
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.6%)
$82.81
(+66%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 5.6%)
$58.81
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 5.6%)
$49.99
(+0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.92
Bull Case
$59.20
(+19%)
Analyst growth 10.5%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$53.82
(+8%)
Market implied 10.5%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$33.12
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.5 to 16.0
Stabilization Target:
$51.63
(+3.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 4:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David A Weber
SELL
1700 shares
2026-03-23
David A Weber
SELL
1 shares
2026-03-05
Joseph S Karney
SELL
1 shares
2026-03-05
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