NWN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWN - Northwest Natural Holding Company
$48.92
-1.11 (-2.22%)
▼
5d:
-5.34%
30d:
+0.39%
90d:
-7.7%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NWN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NWN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.07
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWN is currently trading at $48.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.52 to $51.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.40 (+17.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.40 (+17.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$49.52 -
$51.36
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($57.40)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$49.52 -
$51.36
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.66
Resistance Level
$52.78
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.15
Wall Street Target
$57.40
(+17.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 15.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.14
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$47.37
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$46.61
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$48.93
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 5.7%)
$79.06
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 5.7%)
$57.76
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 5.7%)
$49.10
(+0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.86
Bull Case
$62.15
(+27%)
Analyst growth 12.9%, PE expands to 19.2
Base Case
$56.50
(+16%)
Market implied 12.9%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case
$34.02
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.1 to 15.9
Stabilization Target:
$51.36
(+5.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David A Weber
SELL
1700 shares
2026-03-23
David A Weber
SELL
1 shares
2026-03-05
Joseph S Karney
SELL
1 shares
2026-03-05
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