OGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OGS - ONE GAS, INC.
$77.99
1.56 (2.04%)
▲
5d:
+0.79%
30d:
-5.29%
90d:
-8.32%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OGS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OGS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.50
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OGS is currently trading at $77.99, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.04 to $81.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.6) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OGS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $75.58, while resistance sits at $82.31.
Market Sentiment: OGS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.33 (+17.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OGS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $75.58, while resistance sits at $82.31.
Market Sentiment: OGS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.33 (+17.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$76.04 -
$81.12
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($91.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.04 -
$81.12
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.58
Resistance Level
$82.31
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.55
Wall Street Target
$91.33
(+17.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Profit Margin
11.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 17.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.73
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$73.53
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$71.40
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$78.05
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 3.1%)
$119.66
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 3.1%)
$85.44
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 3.1%)
$72.63
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.43
Bull Case
$95.17
(+22%)
Analyst growth 13.2%, PE expands to 19.0
Base Case
$86.52
(+11%)
Market implied 13.2%, PE stable at 17.3
Bear Case
$51.97
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.6 to 17.0
Stabilization Target:
$85.25
(+9.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian F Brumfield
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-24
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