ONTO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ONTO - Onto Innovation Inc.
$316.01
0.13 (0.04%)
▲
5d:
-0.05%
30d:
+20.5%
90d:
+43.99%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Get Alerted When ONTO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ONTO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ONTO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$480.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$298.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ONTO is currently trading at $316.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $254.13 to $312.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.0) compared to its historical average (29.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONTO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $256.09, while resistance sits at $349.38.
Market Sentiment: ONTO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $355.60 (+12.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONTO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $256.09, while resistance sits at $349.38.
Market Sentiment: ONTO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $355.60 (+12.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$254.13 -
$312.73
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($355.60)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.3% growth with 9.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$254.13 -
$312.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$256.09
Resistance Level
$349.38
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.03
Wall Street Target
$355.60
(+12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.5%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
32.0 vs 29.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$326.30
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$337.07
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$348.20
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$315.26
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.0, Growth: 37.1%)
$813.39
(+158%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 37.1%)
$553.10
(+75%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 37.1%)
$470.14
(+49%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 48.54 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.51
Bull Case
$381.43
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 51.0
Base Case
$315.88
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 48.5
Bear Case
$241.65
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 43.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 11:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:41 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ONTO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Semiconductor Equipment & Materials Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductor Equipment & Materials by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AMAT
Applied Materials Inc |
STRONG BUY
39 analysts |
$527 | 63 BUY |
|
ASML
ASML Holding NV ADR |
STRONG BUY
44 analysts |
$1719 | 55 HOLD |
|
LRCX
Lam Research Corp |
STRONG BUY
33 analysts |
$336 | 54 HOLD |
|
KLAC
KLA Corporation |
BUY
30 analysts |
$201 | 61 BUY |
|
TER
Teradyne Inc |
BUY
17 analysts |
$375 | 57 HOLD |
Advanced ONTO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ONTO price and gamma walls.
