ORLA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ORLA - Orla Mining Ltd.
$9.44
0.50 (5.59%)
▲
5d:
+1.83%
30d:
-3.58%
90d:
-27.16%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ORLA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ORLA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.94
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.00
27.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ORLA is currently trading at $9.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.80 to $9.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.8) compared to its historical average (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 170.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORLA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.43, while resistance sits at $9.73. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ORLA scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.60 (+97.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORLA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.43, while resistance sits at $9.73. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ORLA scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.60 (+97.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.80 -
$9.39
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
15th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ORLA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 15th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 97.0% below Wall St target ($18.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.80 -
$9.39
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.86
(9.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.43
Resistance Level
$9.74
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.76
Wall Street Target
$18.60
(+97.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
169.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
170.7%
Profit Margin
19.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.8 vs 8.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.50
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.65
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.88
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→8)
$10.04
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 13.6%)
$50.08
(+431%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: 13.6%)
$13.86
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.9, Growth: 13.6%)
$11.78
(+25%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.8 to 8.4
Stabilization Target:
$13.77
(+45.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 AM
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Advanced ORLA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ORLA price and gamma walls.
