Orla Mining (ORLA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$9.44
+0.50 (+5.59%)
â˛
5d:
+1.83%
30d:
-3.58%
90d:
-27.16%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
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Updated Jul 30, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (83%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.8x
CHEAP
vs 8.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$18.60
+97.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.43 / $9.74
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ORLA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -11.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.94
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.00
27.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ORLA is currently trading at $9.44, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.8) compared to its historical average (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 170.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORLA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.43, while resistance sits at $9.73. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ORLA scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.60 (+97.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORLA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.43, while resistance sits at $9.73. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ORLA scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.60 (+97.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
83.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level
$8.43
Resistance Level
$9.74
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 30, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding ORLA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 97.0% below Wall St target ($18.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.76
Wall Street Target
$18.60
(+97.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
169.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
170.7%
Profit Margin
19.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.8 vs 8.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.50
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.65
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.88
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6â8)
$10.04
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 13.6%)
$50.08
(+431%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: 13.6%)
$13.86
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.9, Growth: 13.6%)
$11.78
(+25%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.8 to 8.4
Stabilization Target:
$13.77
(+45.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ORLA)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 16, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish trader on StockTwits expressed optimism about the potential price recovery of $ORLA, asking when it could return to $20.
Key Retail Themes:
Price recovery
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 5:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
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