ORLA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ORLA - Orla Mining Ltd.
$9.95
-0.29 (-2.79%)
▼
5d:
-11.21%
30d:
-19.01%
90d:
-29.96%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ORLA is down 11.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ORLA is down 11.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.06
Based on 1.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ORLA is currently trading at $9.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.49 to $12.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.4) compared to its historical average (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 170.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORLA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.60 (+81.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORLA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.60 (+81.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.49 -
$12.56
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ORLA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 81.8% below Wall St target ($18.60)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.49 -
$12.56
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.10
Resistance Level
$13.46
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.36
Wall Street Target
$18.60
(+81.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
169.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
170.7%
Profit Margin
19.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.4 vs 8.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.21
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.29
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.46
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→9)
$10.43
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -1.9%)
$33.06
(+223%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.4, Growth: -1.9%)
$9.66
(-6%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.4, Growth: -1.9%)
$8.21
(-20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.72
Bull Case
$22.84
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$20.76
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$7.06
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.4 to 8.9
Stabilization Target:
$14.31
(+39.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 PM
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