PAAS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAAS - Pan American Silver Corp.
$44.39
-1.83 (-3.96%)
▼
5d:
-14.5%
30d:
-17.7%
90d:
-10.99%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PAAS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PAAS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.06
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.89
27.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAAS is currently trading at $44.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.35 to $55.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.7) compared to its historical average (12.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 131.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: PAAS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.75 (+59.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: PAAS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.75 (+59.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$47.35 -
$55.00
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PAAS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 59.4% below Wall St target ($70.75)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-14.5%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.35 -
$55.00
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.25
Resistance Level
$57.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.74
Wall Street Target
$70.75
(+59.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
49.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
131.6%
Profit Margin
31.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 12.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.95
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$35.96
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$32.36
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→13)
$47.00
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.6%)
$162.02
(+265%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 13.6%)
$65.04
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 13.6%)
$55.28
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.17
Bull Case
$81.43
(+83%)
Analyst growth 60.2%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$74.02
(+67%)
Market implied 60.2%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$31.43
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 12.7
Stabilization Target:
$64.48
(+45.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 6:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced PAAS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAAS price and gamma walls.
