PAAS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAAS - Pan American Silver Corp.
$43.11
-0.92 (-2.09%)
▼
5d:
-2.09%
30d:
-2.75%
90d:
-17.56%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
8d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PAAS appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.7% annual earnings decline despite 132% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PAAS appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.7% annual earnings decline despite 132% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.79
Based on 12.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.59
31.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAAS is currently trading at $43.11, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.70 to $45.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 131.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $41.48, while resistance sits at $46.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.25 (+53.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $41.48, while resistance sits at $46.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.25 (+53.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$42.70 -
$45.60
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.3% below Wall St target ($65.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.70 -
$45.60
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.48
Resistance Level
$46.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.31
Wall Street Target
$65.25
(+53.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
49.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
131.6%
Profit Margin
31.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 12.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.85
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$35.47
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$32.38
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$42.42
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 21.5%)
$170.35
(+300%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 21.5%)
$76.24
(+79%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 21.5%)
$64.81
(+52%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.10
Bull Case
$70.08
(+63%)
Analyst growth 47.4%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case
$63.71
(+48%)
Market implied 47.4%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$29.40
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$55.74
(+31.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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