PBI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PBI - Pitney Bowes Inc.

OFFICE MACHINES, NEC
$18.13
-0.20 (-1.09%) ▼
5d: +7.92%
30d: +7.21%
90d: +59.31%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 14d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 3.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PBI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.01
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.80
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PBI is currently trading at $18.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.90 to $17.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (8.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $16.90 - $17.77
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 43.8%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($17.14)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 8.7% growth expectation is conservative given 105% recent growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $16.90 - $17.77
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.51
Resistance Level $17.13
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.36
Wall Street Target $17.14 (-5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 105.3%
Profit Margin 8.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.7% premium
PE vs Historical 10.4 vs 8.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $19.71 (+9%)
2-Year Target $21.42 (+18%)
3-Year Target $23.29 (+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→8) PE COMPRESSION $18.21 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.1%) $48.20 (+166%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 8.1%) $22.93 (+27%)
Bear: (PE: 8.1, Growth: 8.1%) $17.93 (-1%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.04
Bull Case $33.93 (+87%)
Analyst growth 68.3%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case $30.84 (+70%)
Market implied 68.3%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case $12.46 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 14, 2026 4:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:28 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lauren Freemen-Bosworth SELL 169 shares 2026-04-21
Lauren Freemen-Bosworth SELL 1387 shares 2026-04-17
Lauren Freemen-Bosworth SELL 651 shares 2026-04-16

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