PHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PHI - PLDT Inc.
$19.69
-0.03 (-0.15%)
▼
5d:
+0.0%
30d:
+10.93%
90d:
-2.72%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PHI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PHI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.50
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHI is currently trading at $19.69, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.09 to $19.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.3) is in line with its historical norms (7.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PHI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.42 (+34.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PHI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.42 (+34.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$18.09 -
$19.75
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.2% below Wall St target ($26.42)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.09 -
$19.75
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.29
Resistance Level
$20.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.33
Wall Street Target
$26.42
(+34.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.7%
Profit Margin
13.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 7.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.57
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$19.45
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$19.34
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$19.78
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 4.0%)
$62.60
(+218%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 4.0%)
$22.14
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 4.0%)
$18.82
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.11
Bull Case
$27.60
(+40%)
Analyst growth 27.3%, PE expands to 10.3
Base Case
$25.09
(+27%)
Market implied 27.3%, PE stable at 9.4
Bear Case
$13.41
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 7.5
Stabilization Target:
$20.14
(+2.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Alfredo Santos Panlilio
SELL
4505 shares
2026-04-10
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