PHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PHI - PLDT Inc.
$17.46
0.03 (0.17%)
▲
5d:
+0.34%
30d:
-10.55%
90d:
-18.07%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PHI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PHI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.83
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHI is currently trading at $17.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.67 to $19.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.5) compared to its historical average (7.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.42 (+51.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.42 (+51.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$17.67 -
$19.19
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.3% below Wall St target ($26.42)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.67 -
$19.19
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.51
Resistance Level
$18.93
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.50
Wall Street Target
$26.42
(+51.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.7%
Profit Margin
13.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 7.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.57
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$15.72
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$14.92
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$17.44
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.0%)
$65.77
(+277%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: 4.0%)
$19.64
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.5, Growth: 4.0%)
$16.69
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.15
Bull Case
$23.94
(+37%)
Analyst growth 24.9%, PE expands to 8.9
Base Case
$21.77
(+25%)
Market implied 24.9%, PE stable at 8.1
Bear Case
$11.85
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.5 to 7.6
Stabilization Target:
$20.41
(+16.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 20, 2026 8:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Alfredo Santos Panlilio
SELL
4505 shares
2026-04-10
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