PHIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PHIN - PHINIA Inc.
$72.75
1.12 (1.56%)
▲
5d:
-2.34%
30d:
-7.18%
90d:
-1.45%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PHIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PHIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$123.22
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.51
4.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHIN is currently trading at $72.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.55 to $79.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHIN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PHIN scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.00 (+31.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHIN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PHIN scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.00 (+31.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$73.55 -
$79.49
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.2% below Wall St target ($94.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 69/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.55 -
$79.49
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.19
Resistance Level
$75.88
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.38
Wall Street Target
$94.00
(+31.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.9%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.77
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$67.95
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$66.19
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$71.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 15.7%)
$214.63
(+200%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 15.7%)
$110.98
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 15.7%)
$94.33
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.47
Bull Case
$160.41
(+121%)
Analyst growth 98.9%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case
$145.83
(+101%)
Market implied 98.9%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$49.85
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$77.31
(+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:15 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher Gustanski
SELL
3812 shares
2026-03-04
Neil Fryer
SELL
624 shares
2026-03-04
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