PHINIA (PHIN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$70.90
-0.17 (-0.24%)
▼
5d:
-1.16%
30d:
+25.4%
90d:
-3.83%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
30/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$55.94 – $67.27
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.3x
FAIR
vs 10.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$86.40
+21.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$56.29 / $73.45
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PHIN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.49
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHIN is currently trading at $70.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.94 to $67.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 445.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHIN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $56.28, while resistance sits at $73.45.
Market Sentiment: PHIN scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.40 (+21.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHIN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $56.28, while resistance sits at $73.45.
Market Sentiment: PHIN scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.40 (+21.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$55.94 -
$67.27
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$55.94 -
$67.27
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$56.29
Resistance Level
$73.45
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.6% below Wall St target ($86.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.26
Wall Street Target
$86.40
(+21.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
445.5%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.00
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$68.95
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$67.92
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$70.86
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.7%)
$197.09
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 12.7%)
$101.78
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 12.7%)
$86.52
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.03
Bull Case
$106.57
(+50%)
Analyst growth 37.8%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$96.89
(+36%)
Market implied 37.8%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$47.82
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 10.7
Stabilization Target:
$74.14
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PHIN)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Investor @username reported a positive earnings surprise for $PHIN, with adjusted EPS coming in at $1.83 versus the estimated $1.68, resulting in a beat of 8.9%.
Key Retail Themes:
Positive earnings surprise
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 10:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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