PHINIA (PHIN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PHIN - PHINIA Inc.
$66.24
0.23 (0.35%)
▲
5d:
-3.19%
30d:
-10.51%
90d:
-19.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PHIN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PHIN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$123.22
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.51
13.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHIN is currently trading at $66.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.86 to $74.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHIN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $65.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PHIN scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.00 (+41.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHIN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $65.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PHIN scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.00 (+41.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$67.86 -
$74.96
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.9% below Wall St target ($94.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.86 -
$74.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.47
Resistance Level
$69.48
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.60
Wall Street Target
$94.00
(+41.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.9%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 11.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.99
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$59.91
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$56.97
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$66.49
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.7%)
$215.70
(+226%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 15.7%)
$102.63
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 15.7%)
$87.23
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.45
Bull Case
$145.22
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.1
Base Case
$132.02
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case
$44.89
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$77.31
(+16.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 5:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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