PHIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PHIN - PHINIA Inc.
$77.18
-0.96 (-1.23%)
▼
5d:
-3.14%
30d:
-4.14%
90d:
+5.7%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PHIN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PHIN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$108.52
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHIN is currently trading at $77.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.16 to $83.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.4) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHIN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.00 (+20.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHIN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.00 (+20.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$78.16 -
$83.17
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.5% below Wall St target ($93.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.16 -
$83.17
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.09
Resistance Level
$83.35
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.39
Wall Street Target
$93.00
(+20.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.4%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.57
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$77.95
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$78.34
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$77.01
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.9%)
$201.37
(+161%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 10.9%)
$105.35
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 10.9%)
$89.55
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.65
Bull Case
$160.63
(+106%)
Analyst growth 85.6%, PE expands to 23.7
Base Case
$146.03
(+87%)
Market implied 85.6%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case
$53.51
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher Gustanski
SELL
3812 shares
2026-03-04
Neil Fryer
SELL
624 shares
2026-03-04
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