PHINIA (PHIN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PHIN - PHINIA Inc.
$57.17
-0.94 (-1.62%)
▼
5d:
+2.38%
30d:
-5.57%
90d:
-27.06%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PHIN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PHIN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$116.84
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.55
21.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHIN is currently trading at $57.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.58 to $61.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHIN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $55.00, while resistance sits at $59.16.
Market Sentiment: PHIN scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.60 (+60.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHIN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $55.00, while resistance sits at $59.16.
Market Sentiment: PHIN scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.60 (+60.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$57.58 -
$61.33
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 60.2% below Wall St target ($91.60)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 77/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$57.58 -
$61.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.00
Resistance Level
$59.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.35
Wall Street Target
$91.60
(+60.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.9%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 10.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.42
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$48.07
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$44.08
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→11)
$57.03
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.3%)
$208.69
(+265%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 15.3%)
$87.72
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 15.3%)
$74.56
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.48
Bull Case
$125.79
(+120%)
Analyst growth 96.8%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$114.35
(+100%)
Market implied 96.8%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$39.51
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$73.96
(+29.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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