PHINIA (PHIN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PHIN - PHINIA Inc.
$60.03
0.60 (1.01%)
▲
5d:
+0.15%
30d:
-10.16%
90d:
-20.71%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PHIN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PHIN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$121.02
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$75.14
20.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHIN is currently trading at $60.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.70 to $68.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.7) compared to its historical average (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHIN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $58.07, while resistance sits at $62.30.
Market Sentiment: PHIN scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.00 (+56.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHIN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $58.07, while resistance sits at $62.30.
Market Sentiment: PHIN scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.00 (+56.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$60.70 -
$68.52
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (24/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 56.6% below Wall St target ($94.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.70 -
$68.52
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.07
Resistance Level
$62.30
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.70
Wall Street Target
$94.00
(+56.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.9%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 11.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.53
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$51.36
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$47.51
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$60.09
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 15.7%)
$218.16
(+263%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 15.7%)
$93.01
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 15.7%)
$79.06
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.49
Bull Case
$129.29
(+115%)
Analyst growth 97.8%, PE expands to 18.7
Base Case
$117.54
(+96%)
Market implied 97.8%, PE stable at 17.0
Bear Case
$40.41
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 11.0
Stabilization Target:
$75.93
(+26.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 6:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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