PLNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PLNT - Planet Fitness, Inc.

SERVICES-MEMBERSHIP SPORTS & RECREATION CLUBS
$52.98
2.77 (5.52%) ▲
5d: +2.91%
30d: +2.58%
90d: -30.33%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 4.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PLNT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$116.08
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.08
26.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PLNT is currently trading at $52.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.12 to $52.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.7) compared to its historical average (21.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PLNT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: PLNT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.64 (+25.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $50.12 - $52.75
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.7%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 25.8% below Wall St target ($66.64)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $50.12 - $52.75
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $49.59
Resistance Level $54.38
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.69
Wall Street Target $66.64 (+25.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 19.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 30.2%
Profit Margin 17.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -12.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.7 vs 21.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -12.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $47.68 (-10%)
2-Year Target $42.91 (-19%)
3-Year Target $38.62 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→22) $56.78 (+7%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.7%) $112.52 (+112%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 12.7%) $75.90 (+43%)
Bear: (PE: 12.5, Growth: 12.7%) $64.52 (+22%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.77
Bull Case $75.12 (+42%)
Analyst growth 30.2%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case $68.29 (+29%)
Market implied 30.2%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case $35.67 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 21.6
Stabilization Target: $77.89 (+47.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +47.0%
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Last updated: June 19, 2026 10:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:43 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced PLNT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PLNT price and gamma walls.

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