PRAA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PRAA - PRA Group, Inc.

SHORT-TERM BUSINESS CREDIT INSTITUTIONS
$17.37
0.02 (0.12%) ▲
5d: +2.3%
30d: -9.2%
90d: -20.28%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 2d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PRAA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.87
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.06
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PRAA is currently trading at $17.37, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.29 to $18.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.2) is in line with its historical norms (6.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 711.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PRAA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $15.74, while resistance sits at $18.60.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+49.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $17.29 - $18.62
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 49.7% below Wall St target ($26.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $17.29 - $18.62
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.74
Resistance Level $18.60
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.15
Wall Street Target $26.00 (+49.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 711.1%
Profit Margin -22.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 6.2 vs 6.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $17.28 (-1%)
2-Year Target $17.20 (-1%)
3-Year Target $17.11 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→6) $17.25 (-1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 12.3%) $83.00 (+378%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.1, Growth: 12.3%) $24.62 (+42%)
Bear: (PE: 5.2, Growth: 12.3%) $20.92 (+21%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.1 to 6.2
Stabilization Target: $17.52 (+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +0.8%
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Last updated: August 02, 2026 10:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:34 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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