PRG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PRG - PROG Holdings, Inc.
$45.79
1.77 (4.02%)
▲
5d:
+5.78%
30d:
+3.76%
90d:
+26.53%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PRG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PRG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.31
Based on 9.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PRG is currently trading at $45.79, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.24 to $46.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.1) is in line with its historical norms (7.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.43 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.43 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$42.24 -
$46.19
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($53.43)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.1% growth with 22.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.24 -
$46.19
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.00
Resistance Level
$46.21
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.12
Wall Street Target
$53.43
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.2%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 7.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.21
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$48.67
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$50.18
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$45.72
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 14.2%)
$173.95
(+280%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 14.2%)
$68.16
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 14.2%)
$57.93
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.10
Bull Case
$88.06
(+92%)
Analyst growth 81.9%, PE expands to 15.6
Base Case
$80.05
(+75%)
Market implied 81.9%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$29.93
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 7:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PRG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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