PTC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PTC - PTC, INC
$115.00
0.25 (0.22%)
▲
5d:
+1.16%
30d:
-22.27%
90d:
-23.24%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PTC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.1% annual earnings decline despite 269% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PTC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.1% annual earnings decline despite 269% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$209.11
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$129.84
11.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PTC is currently trading at $115.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $122.79 to $146.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.3) compared to its historical average (18.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 268.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $108.50, while resistance sits at $138.46.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $180.10 (+56.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $108.50, while resistance sits at $138.46.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $180.10 (+56.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$122.79 -
$146.48
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 56.6% below Wall St target ($180.10)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$122.79 -
$146.48
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$108.50
Resistance Level
$138.46
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.27
Wall Street Target
$180.10
(+56.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
268.9%
Profit Margin
41.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 18.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$103.50
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$93.15
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$83.84
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→18)
$115.58
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.4%)
$233.73
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 7.4%)
$142.45
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 7.4%)
$121.08
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.41
Bull Case
$105.05
(-9%)
Analyst growth -16.8%, PE expands to 12.1
Base Case
$95.50
(-17%)
Market implied -16.8%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$78.03
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 18.3
Stabilization Target:
$158.54
(+37.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PTC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Corinna Lathan
SELL
675 shares
2026-03-16
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
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