PZZA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PZZA - Papa John's International Inc
$34.64
-1.18 (-3.29%)
▼
5d:
-5.84%
30d:
+8.73%
90d:
-1.0%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 6, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
29d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
Get Alerted When PZZA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PZZA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PZZA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.29
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.57
2.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PZZA is currently trading at $34.64, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.13 to $35.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.8) is in line with its historical norms (19.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PZZA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: PZZA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PZZA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: PZZA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$32.13 -
$35.77
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PZZA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($37.90)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with -7.7% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.13 -
$35.77
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.70
Resistance Level
$35.10
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.78
Wall Street Target
$37.90
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.2%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 19.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.78
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$34.92
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$35.06
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.73
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.8%)
$62.37
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 17.8%)
$56.65
(+64%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 17.8%)
$48.15
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case
$75.66
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 45.6
Base Case
$68.78
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 41.4
Bear Case
$23.39
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 07, 2026 4:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PZZA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Restaurants Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Restaurants by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WING
Wingstop Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$233 | 61 BUY |
|
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill I… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$43 | 64 BUY |
|
BROS
Dutch Bros Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$79 | 64 BUY |
|
QSR
Restaurant Brands Intern… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$86 | 61 BUY |
|
YUMC
Yum China Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$61 | 64 BUY |
Advanced PZZA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PZZA price and gamma walls.
