QSR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QSR - Restaurant Brands International Inc.
$80.86
1.31 (1.65%)
▲
5d:
+4.15%
30d:
+11.72%
90d:
+6.05%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: QSR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: QSR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$103.41
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QSR is currently trading at $80.86, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.99 to $77.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.3) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QSR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $81.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QSR scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QSR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $81.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QSR scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$72.99 -
$77.02
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($85.65)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.99 -
$77.02
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.59
Resistance Level
$81.02
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.28
Wall Street Target
$85.65
(+5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
151.2%
Profit Margin
13.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 17.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.88
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$84.95
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$87.08
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$80.96
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.2%)
$115.72
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 9.2%)
$105.43
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 9.2%)
$89.61
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.10
Bull Case
$94.39
(+17%)
Analyst growth 7.9%, PE expands to 21.3
Base Case
$85.81
(+6%)
Market implied 7.9%, PE stable at 19.4
Bear Case
$54.09
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 12:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QSR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey Housman
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-20
Jill Granat
SELL
25000 shares
2026-03-18
Joshua Kobza
SELL
200000 shares
2026-03-18
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