QSR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QSR - Restaurant Brands International Inc.
$71.85
-1.59 (-2.17%)
▼
5d:
-4.01%
30d:
-6.12%
90d:
-2.58%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: QSR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: QSR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.57
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QSR is currently trading at $71.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.62 to $75.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.2) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 100% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QSR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.92 (+19.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QSR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.92 (+19.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$72.62 -
$75.86
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($85.92)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.62 -
$75.86
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.99
Resistance Level
$75.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.18
Wall Street Target
$85.92
(+19.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 17.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.63
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$69.43
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$68.25
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$71.71
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.5%)
$126.99
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 9.5%)
$94.34
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 9.5%)
$80.19
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.11
Bull Case
$113.42
(+58%)
Analyst growth 42.8%, PE expands to 25.5
Base Case
$103.11
(+44%)
Market implied 42.8%, PE stable at 23.2
Bear Case
$49.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.2 to 17.0
Stabilization Target:
$75.49
(+5.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QSR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey Housman
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-20
Jill Granat
SELL
25000 shares
2026-03-18
Joshua Kobza
SELL
200000 shares
2026-03-18
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