SF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SF - Stifel Financial Corp.
$81.29
0.48 (0.59%)
▲
5d:
+0.41%
30d:
-1.62%
90d:
+15.88%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$121.22
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$75.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SF is currently trading at $81.29, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.75 to $84.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 50.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SF is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.53, while resistance sits at $85.96.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SF is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.53, while resistance sits at $85.96.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$79.75 -
$84.60
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($89.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.75 -
$84.60
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.53
Resistance Level
$85.96
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.09
Wall Street Target
$89.00
(+9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.6%
Profit Margin
16.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.05
(0%)
2-Year Target
$80.80
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$80.56
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$81.34
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.3%)
$208.55
(+157%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 12.3%)
$115.26
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 12.3%)
$97.97
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.60
Bull Case
$116.33
(+43%)
Analyst growth 30.9%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$105.75
(+30%)
Market implied 30.9%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$54.95
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$82.08
(+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 31, 2026 1:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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