SHLS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SHLS - Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$9.40
-0.62 (-6.19%)
▼
5d:
-11.15%
30d:
+1.62%
90d:
+34.67%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
21d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SHLS is down 11.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SHLS is down 11.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.83
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.83
4.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHLS is currently trading at $9.40, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.41 to $10.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.9) compared to its historical average (17.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHLS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.70, while resistance sits at $10.87. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHLS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.70, while resistance sits at $10.87. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$9.41 -
$10.84
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
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Holding SHLS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.63)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 4.9% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.41 -
$10.84
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.70
Resistance Level
$10.87
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.86
Wall Street Target
$10.63
(+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
74.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.0%
Profit Margin
6.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 17.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.51
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$11.03
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$11.57
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.02
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.9%)
$19.88
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 21.9%)
$18.13
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 21.9%)
$15.41
(+54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.21
Bull Case
$22.18
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 52.8
Base Case
$20.16
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.0
Bear Case
$6.85
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SHLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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