SKYW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKYW - Skywest Inc
$97.05
3.19 (3.39%)
▲
5d:
+5.46%
30d:
+14.41%
90d:
+5.77%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SKYW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SKYW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$134.37
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKYW is currently trading at $97.05, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.30 to $91.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKYW is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: SKYW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.50 (+29.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKYW is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: SKYW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.50 (+29.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$82.30 -
$91.65
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.9% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 29.4% below Wall St target ($121.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.30 -
$91.65
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.01
Resistance Level
$89.68
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.83
Wall Street Target
$121.50
(+29.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Profit Margin
10.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$93.02
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$92.18
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$91.35
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$93.33
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.0%)
$347.15
(+270%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 10.0%)
$124.80
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 10.0%)
$106.08
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.43
Bull Case
$117.70
(+25%)
Analyst growth 14.9%, PE expands to 9.8
Base Case
$107.00
(+14%)
Market implied 14.9%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case
$63.31
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 8.0
Stabilization Target:
$95.90
(+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:05 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SKYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Wade J Steel
SELL
20629 shares
2026-02-24
Wade J Steel
SELL
7371 shares
2026-02-18
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