SNA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SNA - Snap-on Incorporated
$404.12
8.71 (2.20%)
▲
5d:
-1.67%
30d:
+3.06%
90d:
+3.42%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SNA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SNA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$497.66
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$309.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SNA is currently trading at $404.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $394.46 to $409.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.0) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $392.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $392.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$394.46 -
$409.32
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
41th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 41th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($396.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$394.46 -
$409.32
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$16.93
(4.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$392.42
Resistance Level
$419.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.96
Wall Street Target
$396.50
(-1.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Profit Margin
19.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$413.82
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$423.75
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$433.92
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$405.13
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 7.4%)
$549.44
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 7.4%)
$500.53
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 7.4%)
$425.45
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $19.46
Bull Case
$489.42
(+21%)
Analyst growth 9.5%, PE expands to 23.0
Base Case
$444.93
(+10%)
Market implied 9.5%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case
$276.20
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 27, 2026 7:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SNA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
June C Lemerand
SELL
1378 shares
2026-02-25
Nicholas T Pinchuk
SELL
23229 shares
2026-02-23
Aldo John Pagliari
SELL
7043 shares
2026-02-19
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