SNCY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SNCY - Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$16.17
-0.25 (-1.52%)
▼
5d:
+1.83%
30d:
-6.37%
90d:
-25.45%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SNCY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SNCY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.41
16.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SNCY is currently trading at $16.17, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.67 to $16.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.2) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNCY is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $15.00, while resistance sits at $17.38.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.57 (+21.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNCY is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $15.00, while resistance sits at $17.38.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.57 (+21.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$15.67 -
$16.66
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.0% below Wall St target ($19.57)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 3.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.67 -
$16.66
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.00
Resistance Level
$17.38
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.17
Wall Street Target
$19.57
(+21.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.8%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.23
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$16.30
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$16.36
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.24
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 100.9%)
$131.19
(+711%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 100.9%)
$54.57
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 100.9%)
$46.39
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 04, 2026 1:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SNCY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Colton Matthew Snow
SELL
752 shares
2026-02-02
Christopher Michael Mang…
SELL
256 shares
2026-01-12
Colton Matthew Snow
SELL
759 shares
2026-01-12
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