SNCY
Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED
Sun Country Airlines (SNCY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$16.17
-0.25 (-1.52%)
▼
5d:
+1.83%
30d:
-6.37%
90d:
-25.45%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (71%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.2x
FAIR
vs 9.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$19.57
+21.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$15.00 / $17.38
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: SNCY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.41
16.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SNCY is currently trading at $16.17, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.2) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNCY is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $15.00, while resistance sits at $17.38.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.57 (+21.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNCY is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $15.00, while resistance sits at $17.38.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.57 (+21.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
71.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level
$15.00
Resistance Level
$17.38
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.0% below Wall St target ($19.57)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 3.6% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.17
Wall Street Target
$19.57
(+21.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.8%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.23
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$16.30
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$16.36
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.24
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 100.9%)
$131.19
(+711%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 100.9%)
$54.57
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 100.9%)
$46.39
(+187%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SNCY)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Jun 26, 2023
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on SNCY are bullish (sentiment score +0.15) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 5:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SNCY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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