SPMC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPMC - Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc.
$9.73
-0.14 (-1.42%)
▼
5d:
-8.64%
30d:
-8.64%
90d:
+10.69%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SPMC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SPMC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.54
Based on -1.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPMC is currently trading at $9.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.33 to $11.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.5) is in line with its historical norms (5.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPMC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.00 (+13.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPMC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.00 (+13.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.33 -
$11.61
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($11.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.33 -
$11.61
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.70
Resistance Level
$11.97
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.47
Wall Street Target
$11.00
(+13.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-33.3%
Profit Margin
-174.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.5 vs 5.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.56
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$9.40
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$9.24
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→6)
$9.81
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -7.0%)
$31.13
(+220%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.5, Growth: -7.0%)
$7.81
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.6, Growth: -7.0%)
$6.64
(-32%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.5 to 5.8
Stabilization Target:
$10.32
(+6.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPMC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen Ketchum
BUY
1000 shares
2026-02-13
Matthew E Forstenhausler
BUY
2000 shares
2026-02-13
Guaranty Ltd Assured
SELL
237 shares
2026-01-29
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