STM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STM - STMicroelectronics N.V.
$52.30
-0.09 (-0.18%)
▼
5d:
-2.16%
30d:
-23.49%
90d:
-6.2%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: STM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: STM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.84
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.07
25.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STM is currently trading at $52.30, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.30 to $72.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.3) is in line with its historical norms (23.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $47.88, while resistance sits at $66.53.
Market Sentiment: STM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.52 (+36.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $47.88, while resistance sits at $66.53.
Market Sentiment: STM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.52 (+36.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$55.30 -
$72.38
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.5% below Wall St target ($71.52)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$55.30 -
$72.38
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.88
Resistance Level
$66.53
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.34
Wall Street Target
$71.52
(+36.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.3%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 23.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.66
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$48.99
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$47.37
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→24)
$52.40
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.3, Growth: 81.5%)
$176.82
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 81.5%)
$171.79
(+228%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 81.5%)
$146.02
(+179%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 36.90 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.42
Bull Case
$63.26
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 38.8
Base Case
$52.39
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 36.9
Bear Case
$40.08
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 33.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.3 to 23.6
Stabilization Target:
$57.95
(+10.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced STM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STM price and gamma walls.
