SWIM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SWIM - Latham Group, Inc. Common Stock
$7.03
-0.06 (-0.85%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.96%
30d:
+27.82%
90d:
+36.24%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When SWIM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SWIM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SWIM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.68
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.49
17.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SWIM is currently trading at $7.03, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.63 to $7.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.2) is in line with its historical norms (26.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWIM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SWIM scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.61 (+21.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWIM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SWIM scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.61 (+21.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$5.63 -
$7.28
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.4% below Wall St target ($8.61)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.63 -
$7.28
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$0.64
(9.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.83
Resistance Level
$7.87
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.24
Wall Street Target
$8.61
(+21.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.5%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.2 vs 26.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.96
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$6.82
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$6.69
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25â27)
$7.11
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.2, Growth: 33.6%)
$16.92
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 33.6%)
$13.45
(+90%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 33.6%)
$11.44
(+61%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (144x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 143.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.05
Bull Case
$15.82
(+125%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 158.2
Base Case
$14.38
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 143.8
Bear Case
$4.89
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 122.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.2 to 26.8
Stabilization Target:
$7.53
(+6.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SWIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Building Products & Equipment Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Building Products & Equipment by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BLDR
Builders FirstSource Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$81 | 49 HOLD |
|
CARR
Carrier Global Corp |
BUY
25 analysts |
$78 | 47 HOLD |
|
TT
Trane Technologies plc |
BUY
25 analysts |
$526 | 51 HOLD |
|
MAS
Masco Corporation |
HOLD
21 analysts |
$81 | 64 BUY |
|
JCI
Johnson Controls InternaâĻ |
BUY
22 analysts |
$163 | 43 HOLD |
