SWIM
Latham Group, Inc. Common Stock
PLASTICS PRODUCTS, NEC
Latham Group (SWIM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$8.37
+0.09 (+1.09%)
▲
5d:
+2.32%
30d:
+37.44%
90d:
+10.71%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (18%)
Quality Score
27/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$6.09 – $7.67
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
31.0x
STRETCHED
vs 25.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$8.80
+6.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$6.94 / $8.51
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SWIM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.43
Based on 11.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SWIM is currently trading at $8.37, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.09 to $7.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.0) compared to its historical average (25.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWIM is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SWIM scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWIM is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SWIM scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$6.09 -
$7.67
Company Quality Score
27/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
18.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$6.09 -
$7.67
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$6.94
Resistance Level
$8.51
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.1% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.80)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.1% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 26/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.03
Wall Street Target
$8.80
(+6.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
43.7%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.1% premium
PE vs Historical
31.0 vs 25.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.79
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$9.32
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$9.89
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.25
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.0, Growth: 19.0%)
$13.95
(+69%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 19.0%)
$8.93
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 19.0%)
$7.59
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (105x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 105.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.08
Bull Case
$18.48
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 115.5
Base Case
$16.80
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 105.0
Bear Case
$5.71
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 89.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SWIM)
Neutral
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Latham Group ($SWIM) reported Q2 2026 earnings with a 14% increase in net sales and raised full-year guidance. The Sand State strategy and consumer demand initiatives contributed to the growth.
Key Retail Themes:
Strong sales growth
Raised guidance
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 2:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SWIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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