TDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDS - Telephone and Data Systems Inc.
$33.60
-1.11 (-3.20%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.57%
30d:
-0.03%
90d:
-18.45%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TDS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TDS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.04
Based on -45.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDS is currently trading at $33.60, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.46 to $34.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 155.4) is in line with its historical norms (147.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $32.56, while resistance sits at $35.41. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (18th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.50 (+41.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $32.56, while resistance sits at $35.41. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (18th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.50 (+41.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$33.46 -
$34.94
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
18th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TDS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 18th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 41.4% below Wall St target ($47.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with 3.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.46 -
$34.94
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$1.81
(5.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.56
Resistance Level
$35.41
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
155.41
Wall Street Target
$47.50
(+41.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.8%
Profit Margin
33.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
155.4 vs 147.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.17
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$34.75
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$35.34
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 155â148)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.59
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 155.4, Growth: -94.2%)
$24.49
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -94.2%)
$3.16
(-91%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -94.2%)
$2.69
(-92%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.01
Bull Case
$19.09
(-43%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 9.5
Base Case
$17.36
(-48%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 8.7
Bear Case
$23.60
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TDS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TDS price and gamma walls.
