TE Connectivity (TEL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEL - TE Connectivity plc
$213.48
3.47 (1.65%)
▲
5d:
+5.99%
30d:
+4.89%
90d:
+5.14%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TEL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TEL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$340.61
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$211.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEL is currently trading at $213.48, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $201.59 to $210.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.5) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $213.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TEL scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $248.89 (+16.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $213.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TEL scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $248.89 (+16.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$201.59 -
$210.58
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($248.89)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$201.59 -
$210.58
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$200.43
Resistance Level
$213.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.53
Wall Street Target
$248.89
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.2%
Profit Margin
15.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$208.57
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$203.77
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$199.09
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$213.14
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.7%)
$376.62
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 12.7%)
$305.82
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 12.7%)
$259.95
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.21
Bull Case
$285.79
(+36%)
Analyst growth 26.5%, PE expands to 22.1
Base Case
$259.81
(+24%)
Market implied 26.5%, PE stable at 20.1
Bear Case
$139.69
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.5 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$228.55
(+7.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 22, 2026 5:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shadrak W Kroeger
SELL
9400 shares
2026-04-08
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