TFII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TFII - TFI International Inc.
$143.18
-0.97 (-0.67%)
▼
5d:
-6.27%
30d:
-3.3%
90d:
+36.69%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TFII shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TFII shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$277.62
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$172.38
16.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TFII is currently trading at $143.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $145.53 to $158.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.1) is in line with its historical norms (20.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFII is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $148.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.55 (+12.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFII is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $148.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.55 (+12.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$145.53 -
$158.66
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($160.55)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with -0.8% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$145.53 -
$158.66
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$148.78
Resistance Level
$167.69
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.09
Wall Street Target
$160.55
(+12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-20.1%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 20.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$143.47
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$143.75
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$144.04
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$143.42
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 34.4%)
$377.02
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 34.4%)
$347.71
(+143%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 34.4%)
$295.55
(+106%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.58
Bull Case
$319.94
(+122%)
Analyst growth 98.1%, PE expands to 45.1
Base Case
$290.85
(+102%)
Market implied 98.1%, PE stable at 41.0
Bear Case
$99.86
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TFII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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