THRM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THRM - Gentherm Inc
$41.53
0.95 (2.34%)
▲
5d:
-1.28%
30d:
+22.58%
90d:
+37.06%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: THRM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: THRM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.98
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THRM is currently trading at $41.53, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.11 to $41.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $35.52, while resistance sits at $48.35.
Market Sentiment: THRM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.71 (+14.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $35.52, while resistance sits at $48.35.
Market Sentiment: THRM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.71 (+14.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$34.11 -
$41.02
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($47.71)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.11 -
$41.02
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.52
Resistance Level
$48.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.68
Wall Street Target
$47.71
(+14.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
798.1%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 11.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.82
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$44.14
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$45.51
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.64
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 12.2%)
$95.83
(+131%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 12.2%)
$58.62
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 12.2%)
$49.82
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 47.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.86
Bull Case
$89.28
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 51.9
Base Case
$81.16
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 47.2
Bear Case
$27.59
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 1:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is THRM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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