THRM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THRM - Gentherm Inc
$33.88
-0.39 (-1.14%)
▼
5d:
-6.25%
30d:
-9.22%
90d:
+19.89%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: THRM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: THRM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.18
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THRM is currently trading at $33.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.46 to $36.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $34.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.57 (+19.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $34.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.57 (+19.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$34.46 -
$36.66
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($40.57)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.46 -
$36.66
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.01
Resistance Level
$38.81
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.10
Wall Street Target
$40.57
(+19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.2%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.51
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$33.14
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$32.77
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$33.95
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.6%)
$94.87
(+180%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 12.6%)
$48.36
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 12.6%)
$41.10
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$75.39
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 51.6
Base Case
$68.54
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 47.0
Bear Case
$23.30
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$35.09
(+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is THRM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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