Gentherm (THRM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THRM - Gentherm Inc
$38.85
0.52 (1.36%)
▲
5d:
-2.92%
30d:
-6.18%
90d:
+7.68%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: THRM is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: THRM is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.48
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THRM is currently trading at $38.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.12 to $42.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.9) is in line with its historical norms (11.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.71 (+22.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.71 (+22.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$39.12 -
$42.03
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.8% below Wall St target ($47.71)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (46/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.12 -
$42.03
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.87
Resistance Level
$40.92
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.86
Wall Street Target
$47.71
(+22.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
798.1%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 11.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.04
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$39.24
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$39.44
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.91
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.2%)
$93.32
(+140%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 12.2%)
$54.87
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 12.2%)
$46.64
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.86
Bull Case
$84.33
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 49.0
Base Case
$76.66
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 44.6
Bear Case
$26.06
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 9:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is THRM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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