Gentherm (THRM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THRM - Gentherm Inc
$28.60
2.45 (9.37%)
▲
5d:
-1.52%
30d:
-15.61%
90d:
-32.02%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: THRM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: THRM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.08
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.33
11.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THRM is currently trading at $28.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.22 to $35.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.0) compared to its historical average (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 798.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $25.31, while resistance sits at $32.03. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: THRM scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.62 (+63.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $25.31, while resistance sits at $32.03. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: THRM scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.62 (+63.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$29.22 -
$35.92
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
MODERATE
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+9.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 63.0% below Wall St target ($46.62)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.22 -
$35.92
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.31
Resistance Level
$32.03
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.97
Wall Street Target
$46.63
(+63.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
798.1%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 11.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.34
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$24.26
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$22.34
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$28.64
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.6%)
$85.56
(+199%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 10.6%)
$38.66
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 10.6%)
$32.86
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.79
Bull Case
$57.53
(+101%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 36.4
Base Case
$52.30
(+83%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.1
Bear Case
$17.78
(-38%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$36.66
(+28.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 2:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is THRM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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