THRM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THRM - Gentherm Inc
$35.39
0.33 (0.94%)
▲
5d:
-0.37%
30d:
+8.09%
90d:
+22.92%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: THRM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: THRM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.18
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THRM is currently trading at $35.39, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.85 to $37.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $34.01, while resistance sits at $38.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.57 (+14.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $34.01, while resistance sits at $38.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.57 (+14.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$32.85 -
$37.01
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($40.57)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 11.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.85 -
$37.01
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.01
Resistance Level
$38.81
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.60
Wall Street Target
$40.57
(+14.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.2%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.50
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$35.60
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$35.71
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$35.41
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.6%)
$94.87
(+168%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 12.6%)
$50.51
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 12.6%)
$42.94
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$77.55
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 53.1
Base Case
$70.50
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.3
Bear Case
$23.97
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is THRM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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