TIMB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TIMB - TIM S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing 5 Common Shares)
$21.65
0.24 (1.12%)
▲
5d:
-1.81%
30d:
-4.37%
90d:
-15.69%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TIMB trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TIMB trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.76
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.03
25.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TIMB is currently trading at $21.65, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.43 to $22.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (12.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIMB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.43 (+22.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIMB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.43 (+22.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$21.43 -
$22.37
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.1% below Wall St target ($26.43)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.43 -
$22.37
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.17
Resistance Level
$22.61
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.97
Wall Street Target
$26.43
(+22.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 12.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.96
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$18.40
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$16.97
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$21.62
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.5%)
$78.70
(+264%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 18.5%)
$36.01
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 18.5%)
$30.61
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.74
Bull Case
$29.40
(+36%)
Analyst growth 24.8%, PE expands to 13.5
Base Case
$26.73
(+23%)
Market implied 24.8%, PE stable at 12.3
Bear Case
$14.56
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 12.7
Stabilization Target:
$27.59
(+27.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TIMB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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