TIMB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TIMB - TIM S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing 5 Common Shares)
$22.29
0.39 (1.80%)
▲
5d:
+1.76%
30d:
+0.52%
90d:
-18.37%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TIMB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TIMB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.38
Based on 11.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.18
20.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TIMB is currently trading at $22.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.31 to $22.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIMB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TIMB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.93 (+18.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIMB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TIMB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.93 (+18.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$21.31 -
$22.07
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.93)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.31 -
$22.07
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.17
Resistance Level
$22.61
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.09
Wall Street Target
$25.93
(+18.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 12.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.42
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$19.06
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$17.78
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$21.84
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.3%)
$78.21
(+257%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 18.3%)
$36.25
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 18.3%)
$30.81
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.73
Bull Case
$30.72
(+40%)
Analyst growth 25.4%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case
$27.93
(+28%)
Market implied 25.4%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$15.15
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 12.4
Stabilization Target:
$26.89
(+22.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 10:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TIMB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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